The exodus to the suburbs of Montreal continues

L’exode vers les banlieues de Montréal se poursuit

Photo: Guillaume Levasseur Duty
This is especially the suburbs adjacent to it that have benefited from the migration of families with children.

The administration of Valérie Plant will have to redouble our efforts to retain families in Montreal. The latest data migration interregional released Wednesday by the Institut de la statistique du Québec (ISQ) show that last year, families were most many to leave Montreal and settle there. The city has recorded a net loss of 24 000 residents, the most important of the last few years.

The mayor Plant had, in keeping the families in Montreal one of his top priorities during the election campaign in the fall of 2017. However, the suburbs continue to be attractive to many Montrealers.

Between July 2017 and July 2018, Montreal hosted 35 970 residents from other regions of Quebec, but she has also lost 59 633 who went to live elsewhere, or a net loss of 23 663 persons, observe the ISQ, which each year is interested in the migration area.

“It is losses which are most important for the region for 2009-2010 “, indicates the ISQ.

The suburbs champions

The ISQ also notes that these are among the groups 0 to 14 and 25 to 44 years that the losses are the most important, a sign that families with children are more likely to leave the island of Montreal to settle there.

Without surprise, it is mainly the suburbs adjacent to it that have benefited from this migration. The Laurentides region shows significant gains, sitting at the top in terms of interregional migration in Quebec with gains of 6294, among the highest in the past fifteen years. Lanaudière is the second largest with a positive migration balance of 3381 people. The Montérégie is also a part of the big winners of the interregional migration.

These data are not surprising Joanie Fontaine, an economist at research firm real estate JLR, given the lack of availability of land. “Montreal is a territory in which to build is becoming increasingly difficult. The prices of properties have increased rapidly, especially in the last year. Montreal is an island, ” said she.

“But the city’s population increases because there are a lot of international migration, and these new residents settle in Montréal. “

Access to the property

The phenomenon of expansion towards the 2nd and 3rd crowns is thus continuing, and Laval now struggling to keep a positive balance, after gains in the years 2000, notes the Institute.

In 2017-2018, the laval area has attracted 267 people over.

These findings demonstrate the importance of programs put in place by the administration for the Plant in terms of housing, transportation and rehabilitation of parks to keep families in Montreal, said Wednesday the chairman of the executive committee of the City of Montreal, Benoit Dorais. Since his election, Valérie Plant pounds on the willingness of his administration to contribute to the construction of 12 000 social and affordable housing over the next few years.

And last April, the mayor announced the enhancement to the program to access the property of the City, in order to multiply by five the number of households likely to benefit from subsidies intended for first-time buyers.

“Measures like this, it helps,” acknowledges Joanie Fontaine. “But the financial incentives are still low compared to the price difference between the properties in Montreal and those in the suburbs. “

According to it, the exodus to the suburbs remains inevitable and, in the circumstances, the economist does not see how this trend can be reversed. But overall, she repeats, the population of montreal is growing.

For its part, the Estrie region is experiencing its best balance of immigration of the past two decades. It is also the only region to record gains in all age categories, specifies the ISQ.

The more remote areas of the metropolis, usually keep records of negative balances, but the Gaspésie–Îles-de-la-Madeleine continues to make gains.

The ISQ publishes every year statistics of interregional migration based on data from the Régie de l’assurance maladie du Québec, updated regularly.

24 000

Net loss of residents recorded in Montreal between July 2017 and July 2018. This number represents a decrease of 1.24 % of the population of the metropolis.

Variation in other regions of Quebec

– Laurentides……………….+1,05 %
– Lanaudière………………..+0,67 %
– Montérégie………………..+0,58 %
– Capitale-Nationale………+0,21 %
North Shore…………………-0,99 %

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